Fight fans, we are just days away from the biggest spectacle in combat sports history, with #MayMac happening on Saturday, August 26th from Las Vegas, Nevada at T-Mobile Arena.
In the last two months, a lot has happened. There have been some crazy press conferences, with homophobic slurs, and accusations of racism. There was Conor’s high profile spat with former world champion Paulie Malignaggi which centered around their sparring. Within the last several days, Floyd has been posting on Instagram that he’ll be partying all week at his strip club leading up to the fight. Basically, everything you thought when this fight was announced.
The lopsided money continues to come in on Conor, further dropping that line. Floyd currently can be had for as low as -440 if you’re considering all stores worldwide. Which is a price that hasn’t existed on Floyd since his Canelo Alvarez fight, taking place almost exactly four years ago. The total for number of rounds, will go or won’t go, sits at 9.5, with the under at -160, but many books are offering total props on any round you want.. under or over. Interestingly, the handle being accumulated on the bout is beginning to approach NFL Big Game like levels in terms of dollars wagered.
Not much has changed for me in terms of betting this fight. You’ve got one of the best of all time to do it, against an MMA fighter. We saw all the hype when James Toney came into the Octagon and lost very lopsidedly to Randy Couture, and I don’t think this will be much different. Currently, Floyd can be had at -130 to win by KO, TKO, or DQ. If you like Floyd, I like going this route rather than laying the -440 or -500 price to just win, period. It’s hard to imagine Conor surviving 36 minutes with one of the best, when he’s had cardio issues before in shorter fights. Too little time to train for a fight of this magnitude against a fighter this good.
The truth is however, this is a very different animal. So much about money and spectacle and while I expect that it will be a can’t miss event entertainment-wise, from a handicapping angle one must tread lightly. The Fight Game has given us reason to be skeptical of this actually panning out the way one expects it will.
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